By Robert Hargraves
Nearly a million people each year die of breathing particulates from burning coal; the climate temperature may increase 2°C this century; more than a billion people have no electricity. Yet within our reach is a solution to these global crises of increasing air pollution deaths, climate change, and the growing populations of nations trapped in energy poverty.
The welcome growth of the global middle class increases energy demand. If the world’s economy prospers enough to allow everyone to enjoy just half of the electricity benefits that Americans now take for granted, world electric power generation will triple. Most electricity will come from coal burning, which grew 8% worldwide in 2011. Germany leads the way, building more coal plants. Wind and solar power are too intermittent and too expensive to displace coal worldwide.
Nuclear power is the solution within reach; it’s safe and affordable, with low environmental impact. Yet opposition to it borders on superstition, defined by Merriam-Webster as a “belief or practice resulting from ignorance, fear of the unknown, trust in magic or chance, or a false conception of causation … a notion maintained despite evidence to the contrary”. Let’s explore evidence.
People rationally fear possible accidents spreading deadly radioactive materials. Indeed massive doses of radiation did kill 38 emergency workers at Chernobyl, and the fallout of short-lived iodine resulted in 4000 cases of thyroid cancer and 15 deaths. However there is no evidence of the thousands of hypothetical deaths predicted by extrapolation of deadly exposures to lower radiation doses. Opponents of nuclear power have now hyped this death number up to one million, without observable evidence.
Using simplistic mathematical extrapolations from the effects of high-radiation accidents, nuclear power opponents claim that no amount of radiation is safe — not even the low-level natural radiation that comes from the sky and from earth’s radioactive potassium, uranium, and thorium created billions of years ago. Potassium is in our food and our bodies. Rocks contains the thorium and uranium that decays to radon or fuels electric power plants.
Reporting about the Fukushima accident created hysteria without basis. A UN scientific committee charged with investigating the accident’s health effects reported in December that no radiation health effects have been observed among public or workers, and it cautioned against extrapolation to predict health effects of low-level radiation. Radiation superstition causes great harm. Japan is wasting billions of dollars preventing repopulation of radiologically safe areas. Hundreds have died from evacuation stress. Importing liquified natural gas to replace nuclear power has driven Japan’s balance of trade negative.
People unnecessarily fear low-level radiation from accident-dispersed material, buried waste, or medical procedures. EPA required Yucca Mountain engineers to limit accidental releases to just 1/20th of natural radiation for 10,000 years. Dental X-ray technicians routinely drape lead blankets on patients to protect them, but it would take over 10,000 such X-rays to observe any health effect.
Prolonged radiation exposure is safe at natural environmental levels; each cell rapidly repairs DNA strand breaks: one per second per cell. Early life evolved when the natural radiation rate was 3 times greater than now. Today people living in places where natural radiation is 5 times normal exhibit no more cancers. People living in mile-high Denver get more cosmic radiation, but exhibit no more cancers.
Radiation dose rates are as important as doses. High radiation rates overwhelm natural cellular defenses. Doses deadly to Chernobyl workers would have no effect if spread over a lifetime. Cancers are destroyed by multiple concentrated radiation treatments, allowing time between for less-irradiated tissue to recover. In 2012 MIT radiation researchers discovered no DNA damage from exposure rates 30 times as great as natural radiation, and Lawrence Berkeley Lab scientists actually observed how low-level radiation stimulated repair within cells. Long-term, low-dose radiation is benign.
Nuclear industry and shipyard workers exposed to low-level radiation developed fewer cancers. Accidental contamination of building steel by recycling a medical radiation source exposed 8000 Taiwan residents to radiation 7 times natural levels over 30 years, and cancer rates were dramatically reduced. Last year the Dose Response Journal and the American Nuclear Society published compendia of articles evidencing how low-level radiation is benign or healthful.
The vague radiation regulation, “as low as reasonably achievable” encourages ever more costly impediments to affordable nuclear power. This could be fixed with “as high as reasonably safe” limits that are set with evidence, as practiced for other environmental hazards. Nuclear power can solve our energy, climate, and poverty crises. Should we forsake the future of the planet by clinging to a superstition?
Author: THORIUM: energy cheaper than coal
Energy policy study leader: ILEAD@Dartmouth
Vice president: Boston Scientific
Management consultant: Arthur D Little
Vice president: Metropolitan Life
Assistant professor of mathematics: Dartmouth College
PhD, physics, Brown University
AB, mathematics and physics, Dartmouth College
Note from the publisher: Atomic Insights was way down Dr. Hargraves’s list of potential outlets for the above op-ed. Despite his impressive resume and timely topic – after all, there are hundreds of thousands of people who have been displaced from their homes for more than 2 years, mostly as a result of radiation superstition – his submission was rejected by the following advertiser supported media outlets:
- New York Times (twice)
- Washington Post (twice)
- Wall Street Journal (twice)
- USA Today
- San Jose Mercury News
- Chicago Tribune
- Dallas Morning News
- Boston Globe (twice)
- Baltimore Sun
- Bloomberg News
- Miami Herald
Please help me help him to spread his important message of hope. Let’s work to alleviate the unhealthy stress and sense of victimization that is making life miserable for many of our fellow human beings in Japan. The same illogical, unscientific superstition is causing the loss of an enormous amount of capital wealth as valuable production facilities in Japan and Germany remain idled and as useless regulations add almost unbearable additional costs with no additional safety. After all, how can nuclear plants harm any fewer people than they already do?
I remain convinced that one reason that the advertiser supported media is not interested in publishing accurate information pointing to the cost of superstitious beliefs about radiation is that we live in a double entry accounting world. For every cost on society’s ledger, there is a revenue entry somewhere.
While society pays the costs that Dr. Hargraves mentions – more liquified natural gas, few nuclear power stations, overhead associated with excessive regulations – major media advertisers that sell natural gas, oil and coal book increasing revenues. Those companies and their friends in finance, government and media LIKE keeping the rest of us in the dark and trembling in fear of the only power source that has the natural ability to win in competition with hydrocarbon fuel sources.
The alternative to solving radiation superstition is continuing to live with the negative health and environmental impacts of excessive and increasing hydrocarbon consumption along with the negative economic effects of wealth transfers from consumers into the already deep pockets of a limited number of suppliers.
Ted Rockwell’s Learning about Energy – Some Facts about Radiation
Therapeutic Nuclear Medicine – Hormesis by Low Dose Radiation Effects: Low-Dose Cancer Risk Modeling Must Recognize Up-Regulation of Protection by Ludwig E. Feinendegen, Myron Pollycove, and Ronald D. Neumann